beenwaitinginvain

I am waiting happily with HIM and for HIM :)

Friday, June 10, 2005

prejudice

There is a new series in the office and it is called Numb3rs.

The series is about a family composed of the father and his two sons. The eldest works in the FBI and the youngest works as a teacher and is a mathematician. He works with applied mathematics and is helping his brother solving crimes through math..The series concentrates on the work of the eldest son that is solving crimes :)

One nice episode i have seen is Identity crisis.

The story is about a certain crime that happens to have a similarity to the previous crime they have solved. Don who is the eldest son thought that he had a mistake on convicting a person and imprisoning him. But he is sure that at that previous crime he had the killer. The eye witness pointed to the person, the suspect said that it was him who did the crime and a lot of other evidences..He asked again for the help of his brother to look at the statistics or probability that he might have mistaken.

Anyways, Don's brother, Charlie, thought that maybe the eye witness pointed to the wrong killer since the FBI's way of helping the witness identify the killer is through giving them a series of pictures...He illustrated his idea in such a way that he first listed numbers from 1 to 6. Then he let Terry, another FBI, choose a number for three times...All numbers that Terry picked were all from 1 to 6. So he asked Terry why did she picked numbers from 1 to 6 when he did not say that she would pick from 1 to 6. So Terry assuming that before she was told to pick a number she have seen Charlie listing those numbers, subconsciously choose numbers within that range. And so that is what happens to the witnesses to. They will not choose somebody who is not among the list, but instead would choose among the list even if the one in the list is not the actual person but instead somebody who looks like that person...unless the witness really knows the killer..

The point that Charlie raised is actually correct... i just realized this while doing this blog that we had this discussion on our Workshop several months ago...

Sometimes we tend to look at the problem and concentrating on it, or to a certain flaw in solving something and not able to notice that it is not actually the root cause...and it caused delay, disappointments...

And later on realized that what we are looking at is not actually the problem...

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